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Category: Economics

From Post-Communist Recession to Economic Stagnation: Britain’s Struggle to Thrive

Posted on 01/08/2023 by Doug Key

When the post-communist recession struck Poland in 1991, the country was faced with dire economic circumstances. In fact, Poles were even poorer than the people of Suriname and Gabon. In the last thirty years, Poland has experienced a remarkable economic transformation that has lasted for decades. By the end of the decade, it has the…

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Discussion group: OBR State of the Nation

Posted on 19/07/202319/07/2023 by Malcolm

The Office of Budgetary Responsibilities (OBR) report on the financial state of the nation, sparked a truly engaging discussion last Monday (17/7) led by Paul Howarth. We delved into the concerns raised by the report regarding the prevalence of long-term sickness and worklessness in the job market, and the profound implications it has on welfare…

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Restructuring Long-Term Sickness: Economic Implications and the Imperative for Policy Intervention

Posted on 19/07/2023 by Malcolm

Introduction: The latest report from the Office of Budgetary Responsibilities (OBR) provides a comprehensive overview of the nation’s economic health. While the report encompasses various concerns, this article focuses on the surge in long-term sickness and its impact on council tax administration, council tax reduction, and local welfare. We examine the historical context, challenges faced…

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Navigating the Inflation Landscape: A Study in Caution, and Risk

Posted on 19/07/2023 by Doug Key

June 2023 has proven to be a month of notable shifts in the inflation landscape as observed in the recent Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) and Consumer Prices Index (CPI) data. However, amid these economic fluctuations, a clear emphasis must be placed on understanding the associated risks, and importantly, the role…

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Discussion group 10/7: Oflog & Four-day weeks.

Posted on 12/07/202312/07/2023 by Malcolm

During our recent discussion group meeting, we examined the newly declared Office of Local Government (OfLog). The Secretary of State, Michael Gove, has heralded numerous prospective benefits to emerge from OfLog, while maintaining that it does not represent a resurrection of the Audit Commission. However, upon closer scrutiny, its responsibilities appear to align more closely…

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Discussion Group: Inflation, mortgages, and Council Tax

Posted on 21/06/202328/06/2023 by Malcolm

This week’s discussion group delved into the complex topic of mortgages and inflation in relation to council tax. Overall, there was a consensus that although mortgages and inflation may seem tangential to the administration of council tax, they play a crucial role in shaping policies and strategies, as they significantly impact citizens and their financial…

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The Role of Council Tax in Inflation and its Impact on Collection and Support

Posted on 21/06/202321/06/2023 by Malcolm

Inflation in the UK has surpassed experts’ predictions, reaching 8.7% in May, higher than the expected 8.3%. This persistent inflationary pressure raises concerns about a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of England, further exacerbating difficulties for families and businesses. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, has risen to a 30-year high…

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Examining the Trials and Implications of Universal Basic Income (UBI)

Posted on 14/06/202321/06/2023 by Malcolm

Welcome back to our discussion group! After a short break, we reconvened with renewed enthusiasm to delve into the fascinating topic of Universal Basic Income (UBI). Our conversation revolved around the trials conducted to assess the viability and impact of UBI. However, we discovered that none of the trials thus far truly represented a comprehensive…

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Misallocated Covid-19 Grants: Recovery Challenges

Posted on 18/05/202309/06/2023 by Malcolm

Introduction: The Covid-19 pandemic brought about unprecedented challenges for governments worldwide. As part of their response, councils in the UK disbursed a staggering £22.6 billion in grants to support businesses. However, it has come to light that an estimated £1.1 billion of these grants were paid out wrongly. Unfortunately, the recovery of these misallocated funds…

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2023 Budget at Glance

Posted on 15/03/202309/06/2023 by Paul Howarth

The UK is not expected to enter a technical recession this year, and inflation is predicted to reduce to 2.9% by the end of 2023, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). Other key points of the 2023 budget include the introduction of 15 hours of free childcare for parents working 16 hours a…

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